Handicapping the 2012 Presidential Horserace - Twitter Edition

Newt Gingrich has suspended his campaign, Rick Santorum has reached his limit and Mitt Romney has won the title of presumptive Republican presidential nominee. (Assuming that Ron Paul's delegate strategy comes up short.) Now as a two man race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama, we can compare the candidates' platforms, promises and platitudes. And since it is now 2012 we can compare the candidates' Twitter feeds. Very serious business...

Crunching the Candidates' Twitter Feeds

On this site, I have been collecting our elected officials' Tweets since May 2011 (149,000 tweets and counting), including the tweets from President Obama's and Governor Romney's official accounts. With this data and a little bit of Python code I've crunched the numbers and provide a comparison of the two candidates below.

The two tables show the words used most frequently by Mitt Romney but least likely to be typed by Barack Obama (and vice versa). I think the analysis shows an interesting contrast. Check out a similar breakdown of I did of Democrats & Republicans.

Disclaimer

Let's not kid ourselves, these accounts are most likely run by trained communication staffers, not by the President and Governor. Nonetheless, this can show campaign themes and priorities that may be relevant to us voters.

These terms are more often found in Governor Romney's Tweets

Term Obama Occurances Romney Occurances Difference
debate 0 39 -100%
ann 0 23 -100%
updates 1 20 -91%
great 3 51 -89%
barackobama 7 90 -86%
tune 2 19 -82%
video 6 44 -77%
tonight 3 19 -74%
america 11 43 -61%
jobs 11 38 -57%

These terms are more often found in President Obama's Tweets

Term Obama Occurances Romney Occurances Difference
buffetrule 33 0 100%
congress 29 0 100%
ilikeobamacare 25 0 100%
aca 24 0 100%
student 21 0 100%
health 31 1 93%
middle 20 1 90%
care 20 1 90%
progress 21 2 81%
women 35 4 78%

What did I analyze?

Mitt Romney has tweeted 529 times, while Barack Obama has tweeted over 2000 times. To level the field I only considered the past 529 tweets from the President. I used a modified Python script that can be found on Bitbucket.org, which I adapted from this open source code, to breakdown the tweets.

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